Education enables people and societies to be what they can be.
It is education that allows us to see that we are in this for the long haul,
and it is education that will give us the tools we need to build a better future.

- Bill Richardson, Governor of New Mexico
 

Source: www.usm.maine.edu

by Samuel P Huntington

The persistent inflow of Hispanic immigrants threatens to divide the United States into two peoples, two cultures, and two languages.  Unlike past immigrant groups, Mexicans and other Latinos have not assimilated into mainstream US culture, forming instead their own political and linguistic enclaves — from Los Angeles to Miami — and rejecting the Anglo-Protestant values that built the American dream. The United States ignores this challenge at its peril.

America was created by 17th- and 18th-century settlers who were overwhelmingly white, British, and Protestant.  Their values, institutions, and culture provided the foundation for and shaped the development of the United States in the following centuries.  They initially defined America in terms of race, ethnicity, culture, and religion.  Then, in the 18th century, they also had to define America ideologically to justify independence from their home country, which was also white, British, and Protestant.  Thomas Jefferson set forth this “creed,” as Nobel Prize-winning economist Gunnar Myrdal called it, in the Declaration of Independence, and ever since, its principles have been reiterated by statesmen and espoused by the public as an essential component of US identity.

By the latter years of the 19th century, however, the ethnic component had been broadened to include Germans, Irish, and Scandinavians, and the US' religious identity was being redefined more broadly from Protestant to Christian.  With World War II and the assimilation of large numbers of southern and eastern European immigrants and their offspring into US society, ethnicity virtually disappeared as a defining component of national identity.  So did race, following the achievements of the civil rights movement and the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965.  Americans now see and endorse their country as multiethnic and multiracial.  As a result, American identity is now defined in terms of culture and creed.

Most Americans see the creed as the crucial element of their national identity.  The creed, however, was the product of the distinct Anglo-Protestant culture of the founding settlers.  Key elements of that culture include the English language; Christianity; religious commitment; English concepts of the rule of law, including the responsibility of rulers and the rights of individuals; and dissenting Protestant values of individualism, the work ethic, and the belief that humans have the ability and the duty to try to create a heaven on earth, a “city on a hill.”  Historically, millions of immigrants were attracted to the US because of this culture and the economic opportunities and political liberties it made possible.

Contributions from immigrant cultures modified and enriched the Anglo-Protestant culture of the founding settlers.  The essentials of that founding culture remained the bedrock of US identity, however, at least until the last decades of the 20th century.  Would the US be the country that it has been and that it largely remains today if it had been settled in the 17th and 18th centuries not by British Protestants but by French, Spanish, or Portuguese Catholics?  The answer is clearly no.  It would not be the United States; it would be Quebec, Mexico, or Brazil.

In the final decades of the 20th century, however, the US' Anglo-Protestant culture and the creed that it produced came under assault by the popularity in intellectual and political circles of the doctrines of multiculturalism and diversity; the rise of group identities based on race, ethnicity, and gender over national identity; the impact of transnational cultural diasporas; the expanding number of immigrants with dual nationalities and dual loyalties; and the growing salience for US intellectual, business, and political elites of cosmopolitan and transnational identities.  The US' national identity, like that of other nation-states, is challenged by the forces of globalization as well as the needs that globalisation produces among people for smaller and more meaningful “blood and belief” identities.

In this new era, the single most immediate and most serious challenge to America's traditional identity comes from the immense and continuing immigration from Latin America, especially from Mexico, and the fertility rates of these immigrants compared to black and white American natives.  Americans like to boast of their past success in assimilating millions of immigrants into their society, culture, and politics.  But Americans have tended to generalise about immigrants without distinguishing among them and have focused on the economic costs and benefits of immigration, ignoring its social and cultural consequences.  As a result, they have overlooked the unique characteristics and problems posed by contemporary Hispanic immigration.  The extent and nature of this immigration differ fundamentally from those of previous immigration, and the assimilation successes of the past are unlikely to be duplicated with the contemporary flood of immigrants from Latin America.  This reality poses a fundamental question: Will the US remain a country with a single national language and a core Anglo-Protestant culture?  By ignoring this question, Americans acquiesce to their eventual transformation into two peoples with two cultures (Anglo and Hispanic) and two languages (English and Spanish).

The impact of Mexican immigration on the US becomes evident when one imagines what would happen if Mexican immigration abruptly stopped.  The annual flow of legal immigrants would drop by about 175,000, closer to the level recommended by the 1990s Commission on Immigration Reform chaired by former US Congresswoman Barbara Jordan.  Illegal entries would diminish dramatically.  The wages of low-income US citizens would improve.  Debates over the use of Spanish and whether English should be made the official language of state and national governments would subside.  Bilingual education and the controversies it spawns would virtually disappear, as would controversies over welfare and other benefits for immigrants.  The debate over whether immigrants pose an economic burden on state and federal governments would be decisively resolved in the negative.  The average education and skills of the immigrants continuing to arrive would reach their highest levels in US history.  The inflow of immigrants would again become highly diverse, creating increased incentives for all immigrants to learn English and absorb US culture.  And most important of all, the possibility of a de facto split between a predominantly Spanish-speaking US and an English-speaking US would disappear, and with it, a major potential threat to the country's cultural and political integrity.

A World of Difference

Contemporary Mexican and, more broadly, Latin American immigration is without precedent in US history.  The experience and lessons of past immigration have little relevance to understanding its dynamics and consequences.  Mexican immigration differs from past immigration and most other contemporary immigration due to a combination of six factors: contiguity, scale, illegality, regional concentration, persistence, and historical presence.

Contiguity - Americans' idea of immigration is often symbolised by the Statue of Liberty, Ellis Island, and, more recently perhaps, New York's John F Kennedy Airport.  In other words, immigrants arrive in the United States after crossing several thousand miles of ocean.  US attitudes toward immigrants and US immigration policies are shaped by such images.  These assumptions and policies, however, have little or no relevance for Mexican immigration.  The US is now confronted by a massive influx of people from a poor, contiguous country with more than one third the population of the US.  They come across a 2,000-mile border historically marked simply by a line in the ground and a shallow river.

This situation is unique for the US and the world.  No other First World country has such an extensive land frontier with a Third World country.  The significance of the long Mexican-US border is enhanced by the economic differences between the two countries.  “The income gap between the United States and Mexico,” Stanford University historian David Kennedy has pointed out, “is the largest between any two contiguous countries in the world.”  Contiguity enables Mexican immigrants to remain in intimate contact with their families, friends, and home localities in Mexico as no other immigrants have been able to do.

Scale - The causes of Mexican, as well as other, immigration are found in the demographic, economic, and political dynamics of the sending country and the economic, political, and social attractions of the US.  Contiguity, however, obviously encourages immigration.  Mexican immigration increased steadily after 1965.  About 640,000 Mexicans legally migrated to the US in the 1970s; 1,656,000 in the 1980s; and 2,249,000 in the 1990s.  In those three decades, Mexicans accounted for 14%, 23%, and 25% of total legal immigration.  These percentages do not equal the rates of immigrants who came from Ireland between 1820 and 1860, or from Germany in the 1850s and 1860s.  Yet they are high compared to the highly dispersed sources of immigrants before World War I, and compared to other contemporary immigrants.  To them one must also add the huge numbers of Mexicans who each year enter the United States illegally.  Since the 1960s, the numbers of foreign-born people in the US have expanded immensely, with Asians and Latin Americans replacing Europeans and Canadians, and diversity of source dramatically giving way to the dominance of one source: Mexico.

Mexican immigrants constituted 27.6% of the total foreign-born US population in 2000.  The next largest contingents, Chinese and Filipinos, amounted to only 4.9% and 4.3% of the foreign-born population.

In the 1990s, Mexicans composed more than half of the new Latin American immigrants to the United States and, by 2000, Hispanics totalled about one half of all migrants entering the continental US.  Hispanics composed 12% of the total US population in 2000.  This group increased by almost 10% from 2000 to 2002 and has now become larger than blacks.  It is estimated Hispanics may constitute up to 25% of the US population by 2050.  These changes are driven not just by immigration but also by fertility.  In 2002, fertility rates in the US were estimated at 1.8 for non-Hispanic whites, 2.1 for blacks, and 3.0 for Hispanics.  “This is the characteristic shape of developing countries,” The Economist commented in 2002.  “As the bulge of Latinos enters peak child-bearing age in a decade or two, the Latino share of America's population will soar.”

In the mid-19th century, English speakers from the British Isles dominated immigration into the US.  The pre-World War I immigration was highly diversified linguistically, including many speakers of Italian, Polish, Russian, Yiddish, English, German, Swedish, and other languages. But now, for the first time in US history, half of those entering the United States speak a single non-English language.

Illegality - Illegal entry into the US is overwhelmingly a post-1965 and Mexican phenomenon.  For almost a century after the adoption of the US Constitution, no national laws restricted or prohibited immigration, and only a few states imposed modest limits.  During the following 90 years, illegal immigration was minimal and easily controlled.  The 1965 immigration law, the increased availability of transportation, and the intensified forces promoting Mexican emigration drastically changed this situation.  Apprehensions by the US Border Patrol rose from 1.6 million in the 1960s to 8.3 million in the 1970s, 11.9 million in the 1980s, and 14.7 million in the 1990s.  Estimates of the Mexicans who successfully enter illegally each year range from 105,000 (according to a bi-national Mexican-American commission) to 350,000 during the 1990s (according to the US Immigration and Naturalization Service).

The 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act contained provisions to legalise the status of existing illegal immigrants and to reduce future illegal immigration through employer sanctions and other means.  The former goal was achieved: some 3.1 million illegal immigrants, about 90% of them from Mexico, became legal “green card” residents of the US.  But the latter goal remains elusive.  Estimates of the total number of illegal immigrants in the US rose from 4 million in 1995 to 6 million in 1998, to 7 million in 2000, and to between 8 and 10 million by 2003.  Mexicans accounted for 58% of the total illegal population in the US in 1990; by 2000, an estimated 4.8 million illegal Mexicans made up 69% of that population.  In 2000, illegal Mexicans in the US were 25 times as numerous as the next largest contingent, from El Salvador.

Regional Concentration - The US Founding Fathers considered the dispersion of immigrants essential to their assimilation.  That has been the pattern historically and continues to be the pattern for most contemporary non-Hispanic immigrants.  Hispanics, however, have tended to concentrate regionally: Mexicans in Southern California, Cubans in Miami, Dominicans and Puerto Ricans (the last of whom are not technically immigrants) in New York.  The more concentrated immigrants become, the slower and less complete is their assimilation.

In the 1990s, the proportions of Hispanics continued to grow in these regions of heaviest concentration.  At the same time, Mexicans and other Hispanics were also establishing beachheads elsewhere.  While the absolute numbers are often small, the states with the largest percentage increases in Hispanic population between 1990 and 2000 were, in decreasing order: North Carolina (449% increase), Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee, South Carolina, Nevada, and Alabama (222%).  Hispanics have also established concentrations in individual cities and towns throughout the US.  For example, in 2003, more than 40% of the population of Hartford, Connecticut, was Hispanic (primarily Puerto Rican), outnumbering the city's 38% black population. “Hartford,” the city's first Hispanic mayor proclaimed, “has become a Latin city, so to speak. It's a sign of things to come,” with Spanish increasingly used as the language of commerce and government.

The biggest concentrations of Hispanics, however, are in the Southwest, particularly California.  In 2000, nearly 2/3 of Mexican immigrants lived in the West, and nearly half in California.  To be sure, the Los Angeles area has immigrants from many countries, including Korea and Vietnam.  The sources of California's foreign-born population, however, differ sharply from those of the rest of the country, with those from a single country, Mexico, exceeding totals for all of the immigrants from Europe and Asia.  In Los Angeles, Hispanics — overwhelmingly Mexican — far outnumber other groups.  In 2000, 64% of the Hispanics in Los Angeles were of Mexican origin, and 46.5% of Los Angeles residents were Hispanic, while 29.7% were non-Hispanic whites.  By 2010, it is estimated that Hispanics will make up more than half of the Los Angeles population.

Most immigrant groups have higher fertility rates than natives, and hence the impact of immigration is felt heavily in schools.  The highly diversified immigration into New York, for example, creates the problem of teachers dealing with classes containing students who may speak 20 different languages at home.  In contrast, Hispanic children make up substantial majorities of the students in the schools in many Southwestern cities.  “No school system in a major US city,” political scientists Katrina Burgess and Abraham Lowenthal said of Los Angeles in their 1993 study of Mexico-California ties, “has ever experienced such a large influx of students from a single foreign country.  The schools of Los Angeles are becoming Mexican.”  By 2002, more than 70% of the students in the Los Angeles Unified School District were Hispanic, predominantly Mexican, with the proportion increasing steadily; 10% of schoolchildren were non-Hispanic whites. In 2003, for the first time since the 1850s, a majority of newborn children in California were Hispanic.

Persistence - Previous waves of immigrants eventually subsided, the proportions coming from individual countries fluctuated greatly, and, after 1924, immigration was reduced to a trickle.  In contrast, the current wave shows no sign of ebbing and the conditions creating the large Mexican component of that wave are likely to endure, absent a major war or recession.  In the long term, Mexican immigration could decline when the economic well-being of Mexico approximates that of the US.  As of 2002, however, US gross domestic product per capita was about four times that of Mexico (in purchasing power parity terms).  If that difference were cut in half, the economic incentives for migration might also drop substantially.  To reach that ratio in any meaningful future, however, would require extremely rapid economic growth in Mexico, at a rate greatly exceeding that of the US.  Yet, even such dramatic economic development would not necessarily reduce the impulse to emigrate.  During the 19th century, when Europe was rapidly industrialising and per capita incomes were rising, 50 million Europeans emigrated to the Americas, Asia, and Africa.

Historical Presence - No other immigrant group in US history has asserted or could assert a historical claim to US territory.  Mexicans and Mexican Americans can and do make that claim.  Almost all of Texas, New Mexico, Arizona, California, Nevada, and Utah was part of Mexico until Mexico lost them as a result of the Texan War of Independence in 1835 - 1836 and the Mexican-American War of 1846 - 1848.  Mexico is the only country that the US has invaded, occupied its capital — placing the Marines in the “halls of Montezuma” — and then annexed half its territory.  Mexicans do not forget these events.  Quite understandably, they feel that they have special rights in these territories.  “Unlike other immigrants,” Boston College political scientist Peter Skerry notes, “Mexicans arrive here from a neighbouring nation that has suffered military defeat at the hands of the US; and they settle predominantly in a region that was once part of their homeland…. Mexican Americans enjoy a sense of being on their own turf that is not shared by other immigrants.”

At times, scholars have suggested that the Southwest could become the US' Quebec.  Both regions include Catholic people and were conquered by Anglo-Protestant peoples, but otherwise they have little in common.  Quebec is 3,000 miles from France, and each year several hundred thousand Frenchmen do not attempt to enter Quebec legally or illegally.  History shows that serious potential for conflict exists when people in one country begin referring to territory in a neighbouring country in proprietary terms and to assert special rights and claims to that territory.

Spanglish as a Second Language

In the past, immigrants originated overseas and often overcame severe obstacles and hardships to reach the US.  They came from many different countries, spoke different languages, and came legally.  Their flow fluctuated over time, with significant reductions occurring as a result of the Civil War, World War I, and the restrictive legislation of 1924.  They dispersed into many enclaves in rural areas and major cities throughout the Northeast and Midwest.  They had no historical claim to any US territory.

On all these dimensions, Mexican immigration is fundamentally different.  These differences combine to make the assimilation of Mexicans into US culture and society much more difficult than it was for previous immigrants.  Particularly striking in contrast to previous immigrants is the failure of third- and fourth-generation people of Mexican origin to approximate US norms in education, economic status, and intermarriage rates.

The size, persistence, and concentration of Hispanic immigration tends to perpetuate the use of Spanish through successive generations.  The evidence on English acquisition and Spanish retention among immigrants is limited and ambiguous.  In 2000, however, more than 28 million people in the US spoke Spanish at home (10.5% of all people over age 5), and almost 13.8 million of these spoke English worse than “very well,” a 66% increase since 1990.  According to a US Census Bureau report, in 1990 about 95% of Mexican-born immigrants spoke Spanish at home; 73.6% of these did not speak English very well; and 43% of the Mexican foreign-born were “linguistically isolated.”  An earlier study in Los Angeles found different results for the US-born 2nd generation. Just 11.6% spoke only Spanish or more Spanish than English, 25.6% spoke both languages equally, 32.7% more English than Spanish, and 30.1% only English.  In the same study, more than 90% of the US-born people of Mexican origin spoke English fluently.  Nonetheless, in 1999, some 753,505 presumably 2nd-generation students in Southern California schools who spoke Spanish at home were not proficient in English.

English language use and fluency for first- and second-generation Mexicans thus seem to follow the pattern common to past immigrants.  Two questions remain, however.  First, have changes occurred over time in the acquisition of English and the retention of Spanish by second-generation Mexican immigrants?  One might suppose that, with the rapid expansion of the Mexican immigrant community, people of Mexican origin would have less incentive to become fluent in and to use English in 2000 than they had in 1970.

Second, will the 3rd generation follow the classic pattern with fluency in English and little or no knowledge of Spanish, or will it retain the 2nd generation's fluency in both languages?  Second-generation immigrants often look down on and reject their ancestral language and are embarrassed by their parents' inability to communicate in English.  Presumably, whether 2nd-generation Mexicans share this attitude will help shape the extent to which the third generation retains any knowledge of Spanish.  If the 2nd generation does not reject Spanish outright, the 3rd generation is also likely to be bilingual, and fluency in both languages is likely to become institutionalised in the Mexican-American community.

Spanish retention is also bolstered by the overwhelming majorities (between 66% and 85%) of Mexican immigrants and Hispanics who emphasise the need for their children to be fluent in Spanish.  These attitudes contrast with those of other immigrant groups.  The New Jersey-based Educational Testing Service finds “a cultural difference between the Asian and Hispanic parents with respect to having their children maintain their native language.”  In part, this difference undoubtedly stems from the size of Hispanic communities, which creates incentives for fluency in the ancestral language.  Although 2nd- and 3rd-generation Mexican Americans and other Hispanics acquire competence in English, they also appear to deviate from the usual pattern by maintaining their competence in Spanish.  Second- or 3rd-generation Mexican Americans who were brought up speaking only English have learned Spanish as adults and are encouraging their children to become fluent in it.  Spanish-language competence, University of New Mexico professor F Chris Garcia has stated, is “the one thing every Hispanic takes pride in, wants to protect and promote.”

A persuasive case can be made that, in a shrinking world, all Americans should know at least one important foreign language — Chinese, Japanese, Hindi, Russian, Arabic, Urdu, French, German, or Spanish — so as to understand a foreign culture and communicate with its people.  It is quite different to argue that Americans should know a non-English language in order to communicate with their fellow citizens.  Yet that is what the Spanish-language advocates have in mind.  Strengthened by the growth of Hispanic numbers and influence, Hispanic leaders are actively seeking to transform the US into a bilingual society.  “English is not enough,” argues Osvaldo Soto, president of the Spanish American League Against Discrimination.  “We don't want a monolingual society.”  Similarly, Duke University literature professor (and Chilean immigrant) Ariel Dorfman asks, “Will this country speak two languages or merely one?”  And his answer, of course, is that it should speak two.

Hispanic organisations play a central role in inducing the US Congress to authorise cultural maintenance programs in bilingual education; as a result, children are slow to join mainstream classes.  The continuing huge inflow of migrants makes it increasingly possible for Spanish speakers in New York, Miami, and Los Angeles to live normal lives without knowing English.  Sixty-five percent of the children in bilingual education in New York are Spanish speakers and hence have little incentive or need to use English in school.

Dual-language programs, which go one step beyond bilingual education, have become increasingly popular.  In these programs, students are taught in both English and Spanish on an alternating basis with a view to making English-speakers fluent in Spanish and Spanish-speakers fluent in English, thus making Spanish the equal of English and transforming the US into a 2-language country.  Then US Secretary of Education Richard Riley explicitly endorsed these programs in his March 2000 speech, “Excelencia para Todos — Excellence for All.”  Civil rights organisations, church leaders (particularly Catholic ones), and many politicians (Republican as well as Democrat) support the impetus toward bilingualism.

Perhaps equally important, business groups seeking to corner the Hispanic market support bilingualism as well.  Indeed, the orientation of US businesses to Hispanic customers means they increasingly need bilingual employees; therefore, bilingualism is affecting earnings.  Bilingual police officers and firefighters in southwestern cities such as Phoenix and Las Vegas are paid more than those who only speak English.  In Miami, one study found, families that spoke only Spanish had average incomes of $18,000; English-only families had average incomes of $32,000; and bilingual families averaged more than $50,000.  For the first time in US history, increasing numbers of Americans (particularly black Americans) will not be able to receive the jobs or the pay they would otherwise receive because they can speak to their fellow citizens only in English.

In the debates over language policy, the late California Republican Senator S I Hayakawa once highlighted the unique role of Hispanics in opposing English.  “Why is it that no Filipinos, no Koreans object to making English the official language?  No Japanese have done so.  And certainly not the Vietnamese, who are so damn happy to be here.  They're learning English as fast as they can and winning spelling bees all across the country.  But the Hispanics alone have maintained there is a problem.  There [has been] considerable movement to make Spanish the second official language.”

If the spread of Spanish as the US' 2nd language continues, it could, in due course, have significant consequences in politics and government.  In many states, those aspiring to political office might have to be fluent in both languages.  Bilingual candidates for president and elected federal positions would have an advantage over English-only speakers.  If dual-language education becomes prevalent in elementary and secondary schools, teachers will increasingly be expected to be bilingual.  Government documents and forms could routinely be published in both languages.  The use of both languages could become acceptable in congressional hearings and debates and in the general conduct of government business.  Because most of those whose 1st language is Spanish will also probably have some fluency in English, English speakers lacking fluency in Spanish are likely to be and feel at a disadvantage in the competition for jobs, promotions, and contracts.

In 1917, former US President Theodore Roosevelt said: “We must have but one flag.  We must also have but one language.  That must be the language of the Declaration of Independence, of Washington's Farewell address, of Lincoln's Gettysburg speech and second inaugural.”  By contrast, in June 2000, US president Bill Clinton said, “I hope very much that I'm the last president in American history who can't speak Spanish.”  And in May 2001, President Bush celebrated Mexico's Cinco de Mayo national holiday by inaugurating the practice of broadcasting the weekly presidential radio address to the American people in both English and Spanish.  In September 2003, one of the first debates among the Democratic Party's presidential candidates also took place in both English and Spanish.  Despite the opposition of large majorities of Americans, Spanish is joining the language of Washington, Jefferson, Lincoln, the Roosevelts, and the Kennedys as the language of the US.  If this trend continues, the cultural division between Hispanics and Anglos could replace the racial division between blacks and whites as the most serious cleavage in US society.

Blood Is Thicker Than Borders

Massive Hispanic immigration affects the United States in two significant ways: Important portions of the country become predominantly Hispanic in language and culture, and the nation as a whole becomes bilingual and bicultural.  The most important area where Hispanization is proceeding rapidly is, of course, the Southwest.  As historian Kennedy argues, Mexican Americans in the Southwest will soon have “sufficient coherence and critical mass in a defined region so that, if they choose, they can preserve their distinctive culture indefinitely.  They could also eventually undertake to do what no previous immigrant group could have dreamed of doing: challenge the existing cultural, political, legal, commercial, and educational systems to change fundamentally not only the language but also the very institutions in which they do business.”

Anecdotal evidence of such challenges abounds.  In 1994, Mexican Americans vigorously demonstrated against California's Proposition 187 — which limited welfare benefits to children of illegal immigrants — by marching through the streets of Los Angeles waving scores of Mexican flags and carrying US flags upside down.  In 1998, at a Mexico-US soccer match in Los Angeles, Mexican Americans booed the US national anthem and assaulted US players.  Such dramatic rejections of the US and assertions of Mexican identity are not limited to an extremist minority in the Mexican-American community.  Many Mexican immigrants and their offspring simply do not appear to identify primarily with the US.

Empirical evidence confirms such appearances.  A 1992 study of children of immigrants in Southern California and South Florida posed the following question: “How do you identify, that is, what do you call yourself?”  None of the children born in Mexico answered “American,” compared with 1.9% to 9.3% of those born elsewhere in Latin America or the Caribbean.  The largest percentage of Mexican-born children (41.2%) identified themselves as “Hispanic,” and the 2nd largest (36.2%) chose “Mexican.”  Among Mexican-American children born in the US, fewer than 4% responded “American,” compared to 28.5% to 50% of those born in the US with parents from elsewhere in Latin America.  Whether born in Mexico or in the US, Mexican children overwhelmingly did not choose “American” as their primary identification.

Demographically, socially, and culturally, the reconquista (re-conquest) of the Southwest US by Mexican immigrants is well underway.  A meaningful move to reunite these territories with Mexico seems unlikely, but Professor Charles Truxillo of the University of New Mexico predicts that by 2080 the southwestern states of the US and the northern states of Mexico will form La República del Norte (The Republic of the North).  Various writers have referred to the southwestern US plus northern Mexico as “MexAmerica” or “Amexica” or “Mexifornia.”  “We are all Mexicans in this valley,” a former county commissioner of El Paso, Texas, declared in 2001.

This trend could consolidate the Mexican-dominant areas of the US into an autonomous, culturally and linguistically distinct, and economically self-reliant bloc within the US.  “We may be building toward the one thing that will choke the melting pot,” warns former National Intelligence Council Vice Chairman Graham Fuller, “an ethnic area and grouping so concentrated that it will not wish, or need, to undergo assimilation into the mainstream of American multi-ethnic English-speaking life.”

A prototype of such a region already exists — in Miami.

Bienvenido a Miami

Miami is the most Hispanic large city in the 50 US states.  Over the course of 30 years, Spanish speakers — overwhelmingly Cuban — established their dominance in virtually every aspect of the city's life, fundamentally changing its ethnic composition, culture, politics, and language.  The Hispanization of Miami is without precedent in the history of US cities.

The economic growth of Miami, led by the early Cuban immigrants, made the city a magnet for migrants from other Latin American and Caribbean countries.  By 2000, 2/3 of Miami's people were Hispanic, and more than 1/2 were Cuban or of Cuban descent.  In 2000, 75.2% of adult Miamians spoke a language other than English at home, compared to 55.7% of the residents of Los Angeles and 47.6% of New Yorkers.  (Of Miamians speaking a non-English language at home, 87.2% spoke Spanish.)  In 2000, 59.5% of Miami residents were foreign-born, compared to 40.9% in Los Angeles, 36.8% in San Francisco, and 35.9% in New York.  In 2000, only 31.1% of adult Miami residents said they spoke English very well, compared to 39% in Los Angeles, 42.5% in San Francisco, and 46.5% in New York.

The Cuban takeover had major consequences for Miami.  The elite and entrepreneurial class fleeing the regime of Cuban dictator Fidel Castro in the 1960s started dramatic economic development in South Florida.  Unable to send money home, they invested in Miami.  Personal income growth in Miami averaged 11.5% a year in the 1970s and 7.7% a year in the 1980s.  Payrolls in Miami-Dade County tripled between 1970 and 1995.  The Cuban economic drive made Miami an international economic dynamo, with expanding international trade and investment.  The Cubans promoted international tourism, which, by the 1990s, exceeded domestic tourism and made Miami a leading centre of the cruise ship industry.  Major US corporations in manufacturing, communications, and consumer products moved their Latin American headquarters to Miami from other US and Latin American cities.  A vigourous Spanish artistic and entertainment community emerged.  Today, the Cubans can legitimately claim that, in the words of Professor Damian Fernández of Florida International University, “We built modern Miami,” and made its economy larger than those of many Latin American countries."

A key part of this development was the expansion of Miami's economic ties with Latin America. Brazilians, Argentines, Chileans, Colombians, and Venezuelans flooded into Miami, bringing their money with them.  By 1993, some $25.6 billion in international trade, mostly involving Latin America, moved through the city.  Throughout the hemisphere, Latin Americans concerned with investment, trade, culture, entertainment, holidays, and drug smuggling increasingly turned to Miami.

Such eminence transformed Miami into a Cuban-led, Hispanic city.  The Cubans did not, in the traditional pattern, create an enclave immigrant neighbourhood . Instead, they created an enclave city with its own culture and economy, in which assimilation and Americanization were unnecessary and in some measure undesired.  By 2000, Spanish was not just the language spoken in most homes, it was also the principal language of commerce, business, and politics.  The media and communications industry became increasingly Hispanic.  In 1998, a Spanish-language television station became the #1 station watched by Miamians — the 1st time a foreign-language station achieved that rating in a major US city.  “They're outsiders,” one successful Hispanic said of non-Hispanics.  “Here we are members of the power structure,” another boasted.

“In Miami there is no pressure to be American,” one Cuban-born sociologist observed.  “People can make a living perfectly well in an enclave that speaks Spanish.”  By 1999, the heads of Miami's largest bank, largest real estate development company, and largest law firm were all Cuban-born or of Cuban descent.  The Cubans also established their dominance in politics.  By 1999, the mayor of Miami and the mayor, police chief, and state attorney of Miami-Dade County, plus 2/3 of Miami's US Congressional delegation and nearly 1/2 its state legislators, were of Cuban origin.  In the wake of the Elián González affair in 2000, the non-Hispanic city manager and police chief in Miami City were replaced by Cubans.

The Cuban and Hispanic dominance of Miami left Anglos (as well as blacks) as outside minorities that could often be ignored.  Unable to communicate with government bureaucrats and discriminated against by store clerks, the Anglos came to realise, as one of them put it, “My God, this is what it's like to be the minority.”  The Anglos had three choices.  They could accept their subordinate and outsider position.  They could attempt to adopt the manners, customs, and language of the Hispanics and assimilate into the Hispanic community — “acculturation in reverse,” as the scholars Alejandro Portes and Alex Stepick labeled it.  Or they could leave Miami, and between 1983 and 1993, about 140,000 did just that, their exodus reflected in a popular bumper sticker: “Will the last American to leave Miami, please bring the flag.”

Contempt of Culture

Is Miami the future for Los Angeles and the southwest US?  In the end, the results could be similar: the creation of a large, distinct, Spanish-speaking community with economic and political resources sufficient to sustain its Hispanic identity apart from the national identity of other Americans and also able to influence US politics, government, and society.  However, the processes by which this result might come about differ.  The Hispanization of Miami has been rapid, explicit, and economically driven.  The Hispanization of the Southwest has been slower, unrelenting, and politically driven.

The Cuban influx into Florida was intermittent and responded to the policies of the Cuban government.  Mexican immigration, on the other hand, is continuous, includes a large illegal component, and shows no signs of tapering.  The Hispanic (that is, largely Mexican) population of Southern California far exceeds in number but has yet to reach the proportions of the Hispanic population of Miami — though it is increasing rapidly.

The early Cuban immigrants in South Florida were largely middle and upper class.  Subsequent immigrants were more lower class. In the Southwest, overwhelming numbers of Mexican immigrants have been poor, unskilled, and poorly educated, and their children are likely to face similar conditions.  The pressures toward Hispanization in the Southwest thus come from below, whereas those in South Florida came from above. In the long run, however, numbers are power, particularly in a multicultural society, a political democracy, and a consumer economy.

Another major difference concerns the relations of Cubans and Mexicans with their countries of origin.  The Cuban community has been united in its hostility to the Castro regime and in its efforts to punish and overthrow that regime.  The Cuban government has responded in kind.  The Mexican community in the US has been more ambivalent and nuanced in its attitudes toward the Mexican government.  Since the 1980s, however, the Mexican government has sought to expand the numbers, wealth, and political power of the Mexican community in the US Southwest and to integrate that population with Mexico.  “The Mexican nation extends beyond the territory enclosed by its borders,” Mexican President Ernesto Zedillo said in the 1990s.  His successor, Vicente Fox, called Mexican emigrants “heroes” and describes himself as president of 123 million Mexicans, 100 million in Mexico and 23 million in the United States.

As their numbers increase, Mexican Americans feel increasingly comfortable with their own culture and often contemptuous of American culture.  They demand recognition of their culture and the historic Mexican identity of the US Southwest.  They call attention to and celebrate their Hispanic and Mexican past, as in the 1998 ceremonies and festivities in Madrid, New Mexico, attended by the vice president of Spain, honouring the establishment 400 years earlier of the 1st European settlement in the Southwest, almost a decade before Jamestown.  As the New York Times reported in September 1999, Hispanic growth has been able to “help ‘Latinize' many Hispanic people who are finding it easier to affirm their heritage…. [T]hey find strength in numbers, as younger generations grow up with more ethnic pride and as a Latin influence starts permeating fields such as entertainment, advertising, and politics.”  One index foretells the future: In 1998, “José” replaced “Michael” as the most popular name for newborn boys in both California and Texas.

Irreconcilable Differences

The persistence of Mexican immigration into the US reduces the incentives for cultural assimilation.  Mexican Americans no longer think of themselves as members of a small minority who must accommodate the dominant group and adopt its culture.  As their numbers increase, they become more committed to their own ethnic identity and culture.  Sustained numerical expansion promotes cultural consolidation and leads Mexican Americans not to minimise but to glory in the differences between their culture and US culture.  As the president of the National Council of La Raza said in 1995: “The biggest problem we have is a cultural clash, a clash between our values and the values in American society.”  He then went on to spell out the superiority of Hispanic values to American values.  In similar fashion, Lionel Sosa, a successful Mexican-American businessman in Texas, in 1998 hailed the emerging Hispanic middle-class professionals who look like Anglos, but whose “values remain quite different from an Anglo's.”

To be sure, as Harvard University political scientist Jorge I Domínguez has pointed out, Mexican Americans are more favourably disposed toward democracy than are Mexicans.  Nonetheless, “ferocious differences” exist between US and Mexican cultural values, as Jorge Castañeda (who later served as Mexico's foreign minister) observed in 1995.

Castañeda cited differences in social and economic equality, the unpredictability of events, concepts of time epitomised in the mañana syndrome, the ability to achieve results quickly, and attitudes toward history, expressed in the “cliché that Mexicans are obsessed with history, Americans with the future.”  Sosa identifies several Hispanic traits (very different from Anglo-Protestant ones) that “hold us Latinos back”: mistrust of people outside the family; lack of initiative, self-reliance, and ambition; little use for education; and acceptance of poverty as a virtue necessary for entrance into heaven.  Author Robert Kaplan quotes Alex Villa, a 3rd-generation Mexican American in Tucson, Arizona, as saying that he knows almost no one in the Mexican community of South Tucson who believes in “education and hard work” as the way to material prosperity and is thus willing to “buy into America.”  Profound cultural differences clearly separate Mexicans and Americans, and the high level of immigration from Mexico sustains and reinforces the prevalence of Mexican values among Mexican Americans.

Continuation of this large immigration (without improved assimilation) could divide the US into a country of 2 languages and two cultures.  A few stable, prosperous democracies — such as Canada and Belgium — fit this pattern.  The differences in culture within these countries, however, do not approximate those between the US and Mexico, and even in these countries language differences persist.  Not many Anglo-Canadians are equally fluent in English and French, and the Canadian government has had to impose penalties to get its top civil servants to achieve dual fluency.  Much the same lack of dual competence is true of Walloons and Flemings in Belgium.  The transformation of the US into a country like these would not necessarily be the end of the world; it would, however, be the end of the America we have known for more than 3 centuries.  Americans should not let that change happen unless they are convinced that this new nation would be a better one.

Such a transformation would not only revolutionize the US, but it would also have serious consequences for Hispanics, who will be in the US but not of it.  Sosa ends his book, The Americano Dream, with encouragement for aspiring Hispanic entrepreneurs.  “The Americano dream?” he asks.  “It exists, it is realistic, and it is there for all of us to share.”  Sosa is wrong.  There is no Americano dream.  There is only the American dream created by an Anglo-Protestant society.  Mexican Americans will share in that dream and in that society only if they dream in English.

Samuel P Huntington is chairman of the Harvard Academy for International and Area Studies and cofounder of Foreign Policy; © 2004 by Samuel P Huntington from his forthcoming book Who Are We to be published by Simon & Schuster, Incorporated, New York.

Source: foreignpolicy.com March/April 2004

Rebuttal

-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Re: Opinions?
Date: Sun, 27 Feb 2005 03:39:14 -0500
From: Cody Hatch <cody.hatch@gmail.com>
Reply-To: cody@chaos.net.nz
To: Ruth Hatch <ruth@chaos.net.nz>

On Fri, 25 Feb 2005 15:41:25 -0500, Ruth Hatch <ruth@chaos.net.nz> wrote:

Please read "The Hispanic Challenge".  While Huntington has several valid points - I can't agree with his conclusions.  I am not opposed to globalisation and I believe in the reality of comparative advantage, so that I am not even opposed to outsourcing work.  And after all,  Mexico DID own the Southwest before the US did.  (In many ways, the situation he describes has similarities to the Kiwi/Maori relationship.)  Don't spend too much time on it until you have plenty as there's no hurry, but a succinct rebuttal would be helpful because I think these issues are important.  The US is a democracy - but only if the majority of voters are non-Hispanic?  I don't recall seeing that guarantee engraved anywhere...

Succinct?  Could be tricky.  The issue is really one of axioms.

Huntington states that for America, race soon followed ethnicity in becoming an irrelevant aspect of nation identity.  I agree.

Huntington says that after this, the US was then defined in terms of culture and creed.  Um, okay.  Culture is nice and broad, and my dictionary says creed is a formal statement of religious beliefs, a confession of faith, or a system of beliefs principles, or opinions.  It gives as an example the phrase "an architectural creed that demanded simple lines".  Okay, between culture and creed, I'm pretty sure whatever makes America "American" can be found.  (Assuming we ignore Diamond's argument, which as I understand it, would be that the US is in many ways defined by its geography.)

Huntington says most Americans see creed as a crucial element of their identity, that this creed was a product of the Anglo-Protestant culture of the original settlers, and that key elements of this culture include the English language, Christianity, religious commitment, the English legal system, and a few others bits and bobs.  Um, maybe.  There's a pretty big jump from saying the US is defined by a creed, to saying that the US is defined by a creed defined by a culture defined by a commitment to Christianity!

Further, what is Christianity?  Huntington skips lightly between talking about the US being an Anglo-Protestant culture (that is, not Catholic) and a Christian culture (that is, Protestant and Catholic).  What is needed here is to nail down exactly what we're talking about.  A generalised "creed"?  Or some specific aspect of Protestant doctrine?  Or something in between?  For that matter, he keeps using the word "Anglo", but the US and Britain are pretty radically different places.

Britain speaks English, they are (or were) Protestants, they have an English legal system (oddly enough!), and so on.  If what makes the US what it is came from Britain, why isn't Britain like the US?  If what made the US what it is came from Britain plus all of the immigrants the US has absorbed, then clearly all those the immigrants did NOT share the basic Anglo values (or they would have had no impact).  So what's so special about one group of immigrants with different values that they're okay, but some other group is bad?

Clearly, there must be something different between Italians, Swedes, Irish, Poles, Chinese, and Hispanics - but what quality do the first 5 share that the 6th does not?  Quality of immigrants?  Language?  Religion?  Culture?

Benjamin Franklin denounced German immigrants as "generally the most stupid of their nation", and complained that "few of their children know English".  In other words, the US was getting the dregs, and they weren't assimilating.  In 1855, the Governor of Massachusetts denounced Irish immigrants as a "horse of foreign barbarians."  In 1906, H G Wells warned that Jewish, Italian, and Eastern European immigrants were a "huge dilution of the American people with profoundly ignorant foreign peasants."  But the Germans, Irish, Jews, Italians, and Eastern Europeans have integrated.  So have the Chinese and Japanese - who were hated, feared, and discriminated against even more than the Germans and Irish were - and I think we can safely say, had a much more "alien" culture and creed than Catholics.  Further, all of these groups clustered in their own neighbourhoods.  Lets see....

Everyone knows of a Chinatown or two - but I can find references to 13 Chinatowns, 3 Koreatowns, 3 Japntowns, a Little Phnom Penh, a Little Saigon, a Little Tokyo, a Thai Town, and 2 Asian districts.  For non-Asians, we have a Basque Block, 2 Corktowns (Irish), a Frog Hollow, a German Village, 3 Greektowns, a Little Athens, 9 Little Italys, a Little Odessa, 2 Little Portugals, a Poletown, 2 Little Armendias, a Little Calcutta, 2 Little Indias, a Little Kabul, a Little Persia, plus Andersonville (Swedish), Astoria (Greek), Cabbagetown (Irish), Jackowo (Polish), and Tipperary Hil (Irish).  (Source: www.answers.com.)  And for a much more detailed list (they have 86, most of them current) of such neighbourhoods just in NYC, see www.walkingaround.com.

So, yeah ethnic neighborhoods?  Uh, not so new.

Are Hispanics sticking around in these neighborhoods?  Speaking their own language?  Failing to assimilate?  For one thing, it's WAAY too soon to tell.  Ask me in another 2 - 3 generations.  For another, Huntington says 90% of 2nd-generation Mexican Americans speak fluent English.  Sometimes it seems like the US would be doing good if that many 10th generation immigrants were that fluent, so I think I'm okay with this.

Huntington points out that many speak Spanish too, and many who were brought up speaking English actually go out of there way to learn Spanish.  Heavens, learning a foreign language!  You and Wolf are learning Spanish too - does this means you are de-assimilating or something?  And what Huntington does not point out, as far as I know, is that by the 3rd generation 2/3 speak ONLY English - which is pretty good, considering Huntington's (perfectly valid) points about the proximity of Mexico and the prevalence of Spanish in some areas of the US.

He DOES make a good point about education - by the 4th generation, 40% of Mexican Americans have no high school degree.  Only 23% of other Americans lack this.  Of course this is down from 70% in the 1st generation and 50% in the 2nd, so frankly, see my earlier comment about waiting another couple generations.  Also, consider the article "Recent Arrivals Better Educated" (see below).

On the other hand, 33% of 3rd generation Hispanic women married outside of their ethnic group (only slightly less than the equivalent figures for Asians, who are often held up as modern models of assimilation).  More to the point, the intermarriage rate among 3rd generation Latinos in Los Angeles County was 57% - more than 1/2 married outside of their group!

Anyhow, this is bogging down.  Back to 1st principle.  Many 1st generation immigrants are desperately poor, illiterate, uneducated, and work (multiple, frequently) menial jobs.  No, they don't assimilate very well.  They speak only Spanish, and if they can read, they read only Spanish.  If they follow sports, it will be soccer, and probably a team from where they were born.  And?  Does it really matter if the US starts caring more about soccer than football?  Or even if it starts speaking Spanish?  What on earth does this have to do with the countries "creed" which Huntington began with?  Or even its religion?  Protestantism is NOT synonymous with English!  (A legislator is once said to have remarked that if English was good enough for Jesus Christ, it was good enough for him.  I expect better from a Harvard professor.)  If nothing else, it seems to be that significant chunks of the population learning Spanish would HELP assimilation, not hinder it.

Huntington's discussion of Miami seems to reinforce this point.  Skipping from talk of the Protestant work ethic to talking about how Miami is an economic dynamo with an economy larger than many countries is giving me a wee bit of cognitive dissonance here.  Wouldn't more cities like Miami be a good thing?  To be sure, he argues that Mexicans are different, but in so doing he calls into question whether Miami is a good example.

Want to stress over something?  How about this?  Children end up consigned to bilingual ghettos, often against the wishes of their parents, where the teachers are often incompetent, and where they do not learn neither English nor the other subjects they are supposed to be learning:

joannejacobs.com/mtarchives/012946.html
joannejacobs.com/mtarchives/014232.html
joannejacobs.com/mtarchives/012945.html
joannejacobs.com/mtarchives/014498.html
joannejacobs.com/mtarchives/013898.html
joannejacobs.com/mtarchives/013746.html

So, uh...yeah.  Think any of that might have an impact on assimilation or the numbers of speaking English?  I do - but I also think its fixable, is being fixed, and does not reflect on Hispanic immigrants in general.  Much the same point can be made about his worries of Mexican-American separatism - outside of a tiny handful of noisy activists, Hispanics don't seem to care.  Considering the strength (and lack of impact) the Black Panthers and others had not so long ago, I'm not inclined to worry much.

Sorry - that wasn't really succinct.  Nor yet, I'm afraid, entirely coherent.  I wish I could point to a single large show-stopping error Huntington made, but I really can't.  It's all comes down to interpretation and axioms.  Is it a sign that assimilation is working if 2/3 of 3rd generation immigrants speak only English?  Or a sign that assimilation is failing that 1/3 of 3rd generation immigrants speak Spanish as well?

As for axioms...

1. I believe that freedom, democracy, and liberty are not American values, European values, Western values, Protestant values, Christian values, or Caucasian values - I believe they are human values.
2. I believe that freedom, democracy, and liberty are at the core of the US's values.  The US does not always live up to them, but when it does not, it reflects a failure of the US, not a failure of the values.
3. It follows from 1 and 2 that Hispanic immigrants share the core values of the US.  If given the opportunity, they will express them.  It is important that they be given the opportunity, but we need not worry that they will not take it when offered.

What does NOT follow from the above is that it matters if they speak English, or watch baseball, or like hot dogs.  These are not "values" (the word "hobbies" springs to mind), they are definitely not "core values", and they most definitely are not American's core values.  As such, they don't really matter.  An America that spoke Spanish and ate burritos while attending soccer games would be just as "American" as one that spoke English and ate hot dogs wile attending baseball games.

All of which begs the question - what *is* American?  A question far beyond the scope of this discussion, but I'd have to say...  The rule of law, free speech, civil liberties in general, strong property rights.  Basic stuff.  Also stuff which, unless I missed it, Huntington doesn't even try and argue aren't important to Hispanics.  Instead he talks about language and religion.  Religion!  As if much of the religion practiced by modern Americans wouldn't be unrecognisable to the founders?  And most of the remainder deepest heresy?  Bah.

--
Cody Hatch cody@chaos.net.nz chaos.net.nz
"A society that puts equality...ahead of freedom will end up with neither equality nor freedom." - Milton Friedman

Recent Arrivals Better Educated

by Haya El Nasser

Immigrants who came to the USA this decade are more educated than those who arrived in the late 1990s, Census Bureau data released today show.  The data also indicate that the adult children of immigrants are exceeding their parents' income and educational levels.  The increase in education levels "is good news because it shows that immigrants are getting a foothold," says William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution.  "The downside is we're bringing in a lot of lower-skilled people, too."

Tracking the success of immigrants and their children is critical at a time when US immigration is at a record high.  More than 34 million people in the USA, or almost 1 in 8, were born in another country, according to the government's survey of 62,500 households in March 2004.  About 6 million arrived since 2000, 59% of them from Latin America and 23% from Asia.  If the pace continues, immigration could hit more than 14 million this decade, up from the previous high of 12 million in the 1990s.

"A key question surrounding current immigration is: Is this wave of immigrants going to integrate like previous waves?" says Jeffrey Passel, demographer at the Pew Hispanic Center, a research group in Washington.  "You hear things like, 'My grandparents learned English, why can't these people?'  These immigrants are learning English."

Of the 3.4 million immigrants age 25 or older who arrived from 2000 to 2004, 30.7% were high school dropouts.  That compares with 33.2% of the 3.5 million who came from 1995 to 2000, says Dowell Myers, a demographer at the University of Southern California.  And more recent arrivals are college-educated: 34.3% had a bachelor's degree or higher, compared with 32.5% in the late 1990s.  Of the foreign-born Hispanics age 25 and over who arrived since 2000, about 13% had bachelor's degrees or more compared with 9% of those who came in the 1990s, according to Frey's analysis.  Almost 65% of Asian newcomers had college degrees, up from 49%.

"Why are so many more immigrants now highly skilled?" Myers says.  "Is it because the US educational system is not putting out as many high-skilled workers?  Do we have to import more workers?"  The government issued 195,000 visas a year to specialised, college-educated foreign workers sponsored by employers in 2001, 2002 and 2003, triple the norm.

The Center for Immigration Studies says an economic downturn after 2000 did not slow immigration.  The non-profit group backs reducing immigration levels.

The Census data for the first time include demographic and socioeconomic profiles of "2nd-generation" Americans, those who have at least one foreign-born parent.  More of them have college degrees and higher incomes than their parents.  The adult children of Asian and Hispanic immigrants are "more likely to live in the suburbs, live in their own homes and be college grads," Frey says.  "They're basically achieving the American dream."

Source: usatoday.com/news

See also:

"Patriotic Squad" Plan to Monitor Migration (further in this section) - apparently NZ First's Winston Peters feels New Zealand has similar concerns.

For more articles on immigration, emigration, undocumented workers, overstayers, how to get in: NZ and Australia, costs, H1-B workers, scams, and quality of life please click the "Up" button below to take you to the Index page for this Immigration section.